DAMPAK KERJASAMA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA – INDIA DAN DEPRESIASI RUPIAH TERHADAP KINERJA EKSPOR MINYAK SAWIT
Abstract
The study aims to analyse the impact of Indonesia-India trade cooperation and Rupiah Depreciation on Indonesia's Palm Oil Export Performance. The research method uses a simultaneous equation system model and is estimated by the 2 SLS method. Time Series data used data from 2000-2018. The results showed that Indonesia's palm oil exports to India fluctuated but showed an increasing trend (2000-2018). It is suspected that the performance of Indonesian CPO exports to India is influenced by India's import tariff reduction policy and Indonesia's CPO production. Rupiah depreciation was able to increase Indonesia's CPO exports to India, but the increase in CPO exports was unable to encourage an increase in domestic CPO prices and production. On the other hand, the increase in Indonesian palm oil exports was able to increase the price and production of domestic palm oil.
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Aprina, H. 2014. Analisis Pengaruh Harga Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Dunia Terhadap Nilai Tukar Riil Rupiah. Buletin Ekonomi Moneter Dan Perbankan. 16 (4).
Azwar. 2015. Dampak Perubahan Harga Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Terhadap Value Ekspor Komoditas Kelapa Sawit dan Perekonomian Indonesia (Pendekatan Vector Autoregression Analysis). Jurnal Info Artha Sekolah Tinggi Akuntansi Negara (STAN) Vol.I/XIII/2015. 1-20.
[BPS] Badan Pusat Statistik. 2017. Mikrodata Ekspor 1993-2016 (Kode HS Terpilih). Tersedia pada : bps.go.id.
Carmen, S. and Nicolae. (2011). The Relationship Between Exchange Rate and Exports in Romania Using a Vector Autoregressive Model. Anales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica.13 (2).
Chen, Yu-chin and Kenneth Rogoff. 2003. Commodity Currencies. Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, 60 (1)
[GAPKI].2016. Masyarakat Dunia Makin Cinta Minyak Sawit. [Diakses pada September 2019]. Tersedia pada : gapki.id.
Ginting AM. 2013. Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Terhadap Ekspor Indonesia. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan. 7 (1) : 1-18.
Hall, S. et al. (2010). Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Performance: Do Emerging Market Economies Resemble Industrial Countries or other Developing Countries. Economic Modeling.
Huchet-Bourdon, M. and J. Korinek. (2012). Trade Effets of Exchange Rate and their Volatility: Chilie and New Zeland. OECD Trade Policy Papers No. 136. [ILO] International Labour Organization. 2013. Dampak Liberalisasi Perdagangan pada Hubungan Bilateral Indonesia dan Tiga Negara (China, India, dan Australia) Terhadap Kinerja Ekspor-Impor, Output Nasional dan Kesempatan Kerja di Indonesia: Analisis Simulasi Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) dan the SMART Model. Trade and Employment Programme, International Labour Office and ILO Office for Indonesia.
Jamilah. 2016. Dampak Perlambatan Ekonomi China dan Devaluasi Yuan Terhadap Kinerja Perdagangan Pertanian Indonesia. 2016. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan (EKUITAS). 20 (3) : 325-345.
Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia. 2013. Analisis Kebijakan Bea Keluar (BK) CPO Dan Produk Turunannya. Badan Pengkajian dan Pengembangan Kebijakan Perdagangan Pusat Kebijakan Perdagangan Luar Negeri. Jakarta. Tersedia pada : kemendag.go.id.
Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia. 2017. Kinerja Perdagangan Indonesia. Jakarta(ID): Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia.
Moenir HD. 2010. Dampak Kemajuan Ekonomi Cina dan India terhadap Asean. [Skripsi].Depok (ID): Universitas Indonesia.
Omojimite, B.U. dan G. Akpokodje. (2010). The Impact of Exchange Rate Reforms on Trade Performance in Nigeria. Journal Social Sience. 23(1): 53-62.
Purba S. 2019. Dampak Kenaikan Harga Minyak Bumi Terhadap Permintaan CPO untuk Biodisel dan Beberapa Aspek Pada Indusrti Kelapa Sawit Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Ranggagading. 12 (2) : 176-185.
Rauf RA. 2005. Pengaruh Kebijakan Pajak Ekspor Terhadap Ketersediaan Minyak Sawit Mentah (CPO) Di Dalam Negeri : Pendekatan Produsen dan Konsumen Surplus. J. Agrisains. 6 (3) : 143-148.
Sitepu K, Sinaga, BM. 2006. Aplikasi Model Ekonometrika : Estimasi, Simulasi dan Peramalan Menggunakan Program SAS. Bogor (ID) : IPB Press.
Tampubolon BDA. 2017. Analisis Perilaku Impor Negara-negara Impor Utama CPO (Crude Palm Oil) Indonesia Di Pasar Minyak Nabati Internasional. Skripsi. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen. Institut Pertanian Bogor.
[UN Comtrade].2017. Indonesian Annual Import and Value of Crude Palm Oil. Tersedia pada: http://comtrade.un.org.
Zuhroh, Idah dan Kaluge, David. 2007. Dampak Pertumbuhan nilai Tukar Riil terhadap Pertumbuhan Neraca Perdagangan Indonesia. Jurnal of Ap.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29103/ag.v6i2.17307
Article Metrics
Abstract Views : 57 timesPDF Downloaded : 9 times
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2024 Jamilah Jamilah, Mawardati Mawardati, Sekar Safitri, Indah Anugrah Gultom