PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR DAN INFLASI TERHADAP EKSPOR KOMODITAS BUAH-BUAHAN DI INDONESIA

Authors

  • Rieska Maghfirah University Malikussaleh
  • Fanny Nailufar University Malikussaleh

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29103/jepu.v7i2.18058

Keywords:

exchange rate, inflation, fruit exports, autoregressive distributed lag

Abstract

This research analyzes the influence of exchange rates and inflation on fruit commodity exports in Indonesia. The study utilizes a time series dataset spanning 24 years (1999-2022) from FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), World Bank, and BPS publications. The analysis employs the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) dynamic model using Eviews 10. The short-term results indicate that the exchange rate has a positive and insignificant effect on fruit commodity exports in Indonesia. In contrast, in the long term, the exchange rate shows a negative and negligible impact on these exports. Regarding inflation, the variable demonstrates a negative and significant effect on fruit commodity exports in the short term, while in the long term, inflation's impact is negative but insignificant.

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Published

2024-11-27

Issue

Vol. 7 No. 2 (2024): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL

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